Mushtaq Bala
Kashmir is no stranger to uncertainty—be it political, economic, or social. While the valley has long endured conflict and instability, a new set of challenges is quietly corroding its foundation. Unemployment is at an all-time high, drug addiction is creeping into the lives of young Kashmiris, and the business community is struggling to survive. Amid this crisis, political shifts are adding another layer of intrigue. Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi, a senior leader of the National Conference (NC), has taken an assertive stance on key issues, positioning himself as a hardliner in a party that has historically walked a fine line between engagement and resistance. But does he truly have the mandate for this, or is he carving out an independent space within Kashmiri politics?
A Broken Economy: Unemployment and Business Struggles
One of the biggest concerns gripping Kashmir today is unemployment. Despite the region producing a highly educated workforce, job opportunities remain scarce. Government recruitment remains sluggish, and the private sector is too weak to absorb the growing number of job seekers. Many young Kashmiris, despite holding degrees, find themselves either idle or forced to take up jobs far below their qualifications.
This economic stagnation is also suffocating the business community. Kashmir’s traders and entrepreneurs, once resilient even in the face of turmoil, are now struggling to keep their ventures afloat. Policy uncertainty, and lack of financial support have made it nearly impossible for small and medium businesses to thrive. Many shops in Srinagar’s bustling commercial hubs tell a silent tale of declining footfalls and shrinking profits.
The Growing Menace of Drug Addiction
With limited employment opportunities and growing frustration, an increasing number of young people are turning to substance abuse. The once-taboo subject of drug addiction is now a grim reality, affecting families across the valley. The social fabric of Kashmir, which has long prided itself on strong community bonds, is being torn apart as addiction seeps into homes. Rehabilitation efforts remain inadequate, and without economic revival, the problem is only set to worsen.
Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi: A Lone Voice or a Calculated Move?
While the economy and social issues deteriorate, Kashmir’s political landscape is witnessing its own churn. Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi, once considered a core member of the National Conference, has increasingly distanced himself from the party’s traditional approach. His vocal opposition to the abrogation of Article 370 and his emphasis on Kashmiri identity have struck a chord with certain sections of the electorate. However, his assertive stance raises a critical question—does he truly enjoy the mandate for such politics from within his party?
Does Ruhullah Have the Party’s Backing?
The National Conference, under Omar Abdullah’s leadership, has chosen a more pragmatic path, engaging with New Delhi while cautiously addressing regional concerns. Ruhullah’s rhetoric, however, leans toward a more confrontational stance—one that does not necessarily align with the party’s recent electoral strategy. This discrepancy suggests three possibilities:
A Strategic Balancing Act: The NC might be allowing Ruhullah to maintain a hardline stance to appeal to a segment of the electorate, while the party itself remains open to dialogue with the Centre.
A Growing Rift: Ruhullah’s increasingly independent positioning may signal internal divisions within the NC, with some leaders favoring a softer approach while others push for a stronger regional assertion.
An Independent Political Ambition: There is also the possibility that Ruhullah is preparing for a larger role outside the NC framework, testing the waters for a political realignment in Kashmir.
Connecting the Dots: What This Means for Kashmir
At a time when unemployment is rising, businesses are struggling, and social issues like drug addiction are worsening, political clarity is more important than ever. People need a leadership that not only voices their concerns but also provides tangible solutions.
While Ruhullah’s stance resonates with certain segments, it remains to be seen whether it translates into real political influence. If he is speaking on behalf of the NC, the party must clarify its position. If he is acting independently, then Kashmir’s political landscape may be heading for an internal shake-up.
The Road Ahead: Beyond Rhetoric
Kashmir stands at a crucial juncture. The region does not need just rhetoric—it needs action. Economic policies must be revised to generate employment, business-friendly initiatives must be introduced to revive trade, and serious efforts are required to tackle the growing menace of drug addiction.
As for the National Conference, it must decide whether to fully embrace Ruhullah’s politics or distance itself from it. The coming months will determine whether Ruhullah is a voice of change within the party or the beginning of a new political equation in Kashmir.
One thing, however, is clear—Kashmir’s people cannot afford to be spectators. They need leadership that is willing to fight for their economic and social well-being, not just political narratives.
Mushtaq Bala is a Film Maker and Editor-In-Chief of Kashmir Pen.
